Storms are a major topic in the agricultural market
The low pressure areas have caused a lot of damage over the last few weeks. Emergency alert in Upper Bavaria, state of emergency in Hamburg, storms practically across the whole of Germany – many regions are suffering from the turbulent weather. Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg were initially the worst affected regions, whilst more recently this also applied to North-Rhine Westphalia and Hamburg. Hesse was then hit by the floods at the weekend. Farmers often had to deal with considerable drops in yield.
- Bildmaterial zum Content
- The storms of previous weeks in Germany could have an effect on the harvest. Farmers and experts can only wait to see what the scope of these effects are.
However, it is still too early for serious estimates with regard to crop failures or price developments. Initially, all information and data must be collected then analysed. Steffen Holsten, the area manager responsible for agricultural products at the agricultural trade company AGRAVIS Raiffeisen AG, is not currently expecting major changes. "The high precipitation levels were restricted to regions in the agricultural sector, usually the water flows away quickly", he explains. However, entire fields were flooded in many places, or harvests were severely affected. It is too early to lower forecasts for harvests as of yet. The same also applies to prices. In areas where there was a lot of rain, but no heavy storms, the water provided plenty of moisture for soils that were actually rather dry.
Bernhard Chilla, agricultural products market analyst at AGRAVIS, has already established the following: "The market is talking about the consequences of the storms." This is not just in Germany, but also increasingly in France. Chilla has a clear view of all developments and monitors their effects: "We must observe it, however actual quality issues cannot be definitively established." Concrete statements regarding quantity and quality of the harvest are also not made: "There are no statistics. The effects in the field only become apparent when the ears fill up".
The consequences of the subsequent warm and humid weather are occupying farmers after the storms. "Firstly, it's good that there is some sort of rainfall coming after a dry May", explained Franz Schulze Eilfing, head of crop cultivation sales consulting at AGRAVIS. The problem is that the rain came during the wheat flowering period. "This means that the infection conditions for fusariosis are good, which can have an impact on grain quality." Farmers are already reacting to this with corresponding measures. "With this weather, fusarium species are the main problem", established Schulze Eilfing. Due to the humidity, incidences of disease are increasing in the field. Incidences of lice are also increasing. "It is expedient to treat both at the same time", said the expert.
Schulze Eilfing fears problems with root crops in areas where the storms were at their most severe: "Beet and maize fields are wasted." Where it simply rained, conditions for maize are optimal. This particularly applies to regions such as Brandenburg and Saxony-Anhalt, where April was already too dry: "It is good news if rain falls over an extensive area", said Schulze Eilfing.
According to weather forecasts the changeable weather in Germany should continue with showers and thunderstorms.